ConocoPhillips
473532cb-37d1-419e-b0d0-67804695b2de
PRODUCTION_VERIFIED schema v3.0.0 Inferred last heartbeat: 2026-07-20T12:42:19.718202+00:00

Business Model Classification Tokens

contract_cycle_length
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
enterprise_sales_motion
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
procurement_complexity
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
vendor_lock_coefficient
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
consumption_unit_definition
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
usage_billing_granularity
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
overage_penalty_structure
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
minimum_commitment_floor
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
metered_margin_profile
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run

Business Model Archetype Classification

University of St. Gallen — 55 Business Model Navigator (Gassmann et al.)

SG-006 Cash Machine VALUE High
Direct: debt_leverage_profile=0.27x Total Debt / Equity (Conservative). Corroborated: revenue_model_type=~95% transactional (spot and term commodity sales); ~5% quasi-recurring via long-term LNG offtake contracts (e.g., with Qatar, Sempra LNG); minimal true subscription revenue
SG-036
Product to Capability
WHAT High
SG-049
Subscription
VALUE High

Hybrid Combination

Cash Machine (SG-006) VALUE provides the core structure, combined with Product to Capability (SG-036) + Subscription (SG-049) to form the complete business model fingerprint.

55 Archetypes Evaluated High: 3 Medium: 15 Registry: schemas/sg55_archetype_registry.yaml

Knowledge Graph — All Sections

debt_leverage_profile
0.27x Total Debt / Equity (Conservative)
High
SEC-XBRL
interest_rate_sensitivity
Low
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
geopolitical_supply_exposure
High intensity; The Strait of Hormuz — pre-war conduit for roughly one-fifth of global oil supply — has been effectively closed since the US/Israel-Iran war began in late February 2026, leaving Gulf production ~8 mb/d below pre-war levels while the US sanctions-waiver regime for Iranian crude (General License X, revoked July 7, 2026) shifts week to week.
Medium
GICS-commodity-overlay-v2
supply_chain_dependency
High
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
international_expansion_readiness
High
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
geographic_footprint
Global with significant international exposure
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
commodity_exposure_profile
High intensity; commodities: crude oil (Brent/WTI), natural gas (Henry Hub/TTF/JKM), refined products (gasoline/diesel/jet fuel), natural gas liquids (NGLs), LNG, thermal coal; geopolitical: The Strait of Hormuz — pre-war conduit for roughly one-fifth of global oil supply — has been effectively closed since the US/Israel-Iran war began in late February 2026, leaving Gulf production ~8 mb/d below pre-war levels while the US sanctions-waiver regime for Iranian crude (General License X, revoked July 7, 2026) shifts week to week.
Medium
GICS-commodity-overlay-v2
vendor_lock_dependency_score
Moderate
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
business_model_type_primary
E&P (Exploration & Production) / upstream energy producer
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
business_model_type_secondary
LNG (liquefied natural gas) midstream / marketing
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
switching_cost_profile
Low
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
howey_test_risk_index
Low
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
regulatory_burden_tier
High
Medium
GICS-regulatory-overlay-v1
data_sovereignty_risk
Moderate
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
antitrust_exposure_flag
No
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
regulatory_exposure_profile
High burden; regimes: EPA, FERC, DOE, CFTC, OSHA, SEC; Accelerating emissions mandates and methane rules threaten capex economics.
Medium
GICS-regulatory-overlay-v1
revenue_model_type
product sales
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
monetization_vector
unit sales / commodity sales
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
pricing_architecture
floating market-based with some negotiated fixed-price contracts
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
pricing_power_rating
Weak
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
target_gross_margin_bracket
Gross margin ~45-55% at $70-80 WTI; adjusted operating margin ~35-45%; highly sensitive to commodity price — every $10/bbl WTI swing = ~$700M-900M pretax income impact
Inferred
Agent_Inference
churn_vulnerability_index
Low
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
headcount_cost_structure
Sublinear
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
marginal_cost_of_growth
Sublinear
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
franchise_compliance_risk
Not applicable — ConocoPhillips operates no franchise network; all assets are wholly owned or JV-structured under direct operational control
Inferred
Agent_Inference
customer_acquisition_metric
Direct sales / long-term contracts and offtake agreements
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
network_effect_present
No
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
asset_efficiency_ratio
10.4% Return on Assets (Excellent)
High
SEC-XBRL
recession_resistance_tier
Mixed
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
customer_segment_primary
institutional / commercial / utility (energy buyers)
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
customer_segment_secondary
government / national oil companies
Medium
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
characteristic_occupations
["11-0000 Management Occupations", "13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations", "15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations", "17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations", "19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations", "23-0000 Legal Occupations", "41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations", "43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations", "47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations", "49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations", "53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations"]
High
SOC-2018/GICS-overlay
agent_automatable_labor_share
0.25 (HIL — ~25% of characteristic roles agent-automatable)
Medium
SOC-2018 + agentic-exposure-v2
capital_expenditure_profile
Capital actively reallocating toward LNG expansion (Port Arthur LNG, Willow project in Alaska) and low-carbon adjacencies; legacy Permian and Eagle Ford sustaining capex ~$11B total 2024 guidance
Inferred
Agent_Inference
sec_cik
0001163165
High
SEC-EDGAR
ticker
COP
High
SEC-EDGAR
Filings_Dog_Scope
antitrust_exposure_flag,business_model_type_primary,business_model_type_secondary,churn_vulnerability_index,customer_acquisition_metric,customer_segment_primary,customer_segment_secondary,data_sovereignty_risk,franchise_compliance_risk,geographic_footprint,geopolitical_supply_exposure,headcount_cost_structure,howey_test_risk_index,interest_rate_sensitivity,international_expansion_readiness,marginal_cost_of_growth,monetization_vector,network_effect_present,pricing_architecture,pricing_power_rating,recession_resistance_tier,regulatory_burden_tier,revenue_model_type,supply_chain_dependency,switching_cost_profile,vendor_lock_dependency_score
High
SEC-10K 0001163165-26-000009
insider_buys_6m
0
High
SEC-Form4 0001193125-26-362752..0001193125-26-161472
insider_sells_6m
3
High
SEC-Form4 0001193125-26-362752..0001193125-26-161472
insider_net_shares_6m
-26461
High
SEC-Form4 0001193125-26-362752..0001193125-26-161472
insider_last_transaction_date
2026-08-21
High
SEC-Form4 0001193125-26-362752..0001193125-26-161472
Insider_Dog_Checked
2026-10-03T13:47|activist_13d_count_1y,activist_last_13d_date,blockholder_13g_count_1y,insider_buys_6m,insider_last_transaction_date,insider_net_shares_6m,insider_sells_6m
High
SEC-Form4 registry
activist_13d_count_1y
0
High
SEC-13D/G registry, subject-verified
blockholder_13g_count_1y
2
High
SEC-13D/G registry, subject-verified
activist_last_13d_date
none in window
High
SEC-13D/G registry, subject-verified

Business Model Components

Core Space

> *Pending Turn 2 — Business Model Type Agent population.*

Interaction Modes

> *Pending Turn 2 — Business Model Type Agent population.*

Product Matrix

> *Pending Turn 2 — Business Model Type Agent population.*

Historical Evolution Log

Live Operational Signals

Signal DateSignal TypeSummary
Source

Evaluation Gate — Persona Stress Tests

SKILL_BUFFETT_VAL_03PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions
SKILL_LEGAL_SEC_01PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions
SKILL_SHORT_BEAR_01PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions
SKILL_MACRO_STRAT_01PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions
SKILL_OPS_PARTNER_01PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions

Live Status

No Live Status block found.