EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP
3ce195700a974ca3aa0781174b678497
PRODUCTION_VERIFIED schema v3.0.0 Inferred last heartbeat: 2026-07-20T12:46:33.031643+00:00

Business Model Classification Tokens

contract_cycle_length
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
enterprise_sales_motion
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
procurement_complexity
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
vendor_lock_coefficient
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
consumption_unit_definition
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
usage_billing_granularity
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
overage_penalty_structure
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
minimum_commitment_floor
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run
metered_margin_profile
null
Inferred
Pending — BM Dev Shop classification run

Business Model Archetype Classification

University of St. Gallen — 55 Business Model Navigator (Gassmann et al.)

SG-024 Lock-in WHO High
Direct: vendor_lock_dependency_score=Denbury Resources (now ExxonMobil) as CO2 EOR operator for Delhi field represents historically >50% of production revenue — high single-operator dependency.
SG-035
Premium
WHO Medium
SG-002
Affiliation
VALUE Medium
SG-004
Auction
HOW Medium

Hybrid Combination

Lock-in (SG-024) WHO provides the core structure, combined with Premium (SG-035) + Affiliation (SG-002) + Auction (SG-004) to form the complete business model fingerprint.

55 Archetypes Evaluated High: 1 Medium: 7 Registry: schemas/sg55_archetype_registry.yaml

Knowledge Graph — All Sections

debt_leverage_profile
Low leverage; debt/equity ~0.1x, minimal long-term debt (~$10M), so a 20% rate rise adds negligible interest burden under $2M annually.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
interest_rate_sensitivity
Low sensitivity; minimal floating-rate debt exposure means a 20% rate increase has immaterial impact on net income, under 2% EPS effect.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
geopolitical_supply_exposure
High intensity; OPEC+ supply decisions and Russia-Ukraine conflict drive price volatility.
Medium
GICS-commodity-overlay-v1
supply_chain_dependency
Primarily domestic U.S. operator (Gulf Coast, SCOOP/STACK, Williston); no significant international geopolitical chokepoint exposure in supply chain.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
international_expansion_readiness
Essentially zero; Evolution Petroleum generates ~100% of revenue domestically with no material international revenue markets or currency exposure.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
geographic_footprint
100% U.S.-domestic revenue; operations in Louisiana, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Wyoming — no sovereign currency devaluation risk applicable.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
commodity_exposure_profile
High intensity; commodities: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Coal, Refined Petroleum Products, Uranium, Steel (equipment); geopolitical: OPEC+ supply decisions and Russia-Ukraine conflict drive price volatility.
Medium
GICS-commodity-overlay-v1
vendor_lock_dependency_score
Denbury Resources (now ExxonMobil) as CO2 EOR operator for Delhi field represents historically >50% of production revenue — high single-operator dependency.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
business_model_type_primary
Not a cloud-dependent business; operates as a non-op E&P company. Cloud provider termination would be minor operational nuisance, not existential.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
business_model_type_secondary
Non-operated working interest E&P; secondary revenue from royalty interests. No SaaS or cloud-infrastructure-dependent business model present.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
switching_cost_profile
Minimal API coupling risk; company uses standard oil-and-gas production reporting software with no proprietary platform dependency.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
howey_test_risk_index
Low Howey risk; revenue from hydrocarbon production and sale of physical commodities clearly qualifies as commodity sales, not securities.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
regulatory_burden_tier
High
Medium
GICS-regulatory-overlay-v1
data_sovereignty_risk
Minimal GDPR/CCPA exposure; no consumer data collected, operations are B2B commodity sales with limited personal data handling requirements.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
antitrust_exposure_flag
Negligible antitrust risk; small-cap non-operator with <0.1% U.S. oil production market share, no pricing power or market concentration concerns.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
regulatory_exposure_profile
High burden; regimes: EPA, FERC, DOE, CFTC, OSHA, SEC; Accelerating emissions mandates and methane rules threaten capex economics.
Medium
GICS-regulatory-overlay-v1
revenue_model_type
~100% transactional; revenue is spot and contract crude oil/NGL/gas sales with no subscription or retainer component.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
monetization_vector
Commodity price-linked production revenue; monetization entirely dependent on realized hydrocarbon prices and working interest production volumes.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
pricing_architecture
Price-taker model; realized prices tied to WTI/Henry Hub benchmarks with minimal differentials. No proprietary pricing architecture to stress-test.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
pricing_power_rating
Zero independent pricing power; company accepts market commodity prices as a non-operator price-taker in competitive global energy markets.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
target_gross_margin_bracket
Gross margins typically 60–75% at $70–80 WTI; highly variable with commodity prices, with LOE running ~$15–20/BOE.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
churn_vulnerability_index
No free-rider leakage risk; physical commodity sales with no digital product or public-good characteristics. Churn concept not applicable.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
headcount_cost_structure
Highly sublinear; ~20–25 employees support current operations. Revenue can double via acquisitions with minimal incremental headcount required.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
marginal_cost_of_growth
Growth capital-intensive but not headcount-intensive; doubling revenue requires acquisition capital deployment, not proportional staff increases.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
franchise_compliance_risk
Not applicable; Evolution Petroleum is not a franchise business and has no franchise network or compliance drift risk.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
customer_acquisition_metric
At 10x scale, unit economics remain commodity-price-dependent; CAC is acquisition deal cost, not marketing spend. LOE/BOE scalability is the key lever.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
network_effect_present
No network effects present; oil and gas production is a physical commodity business with no user-network dynamics or platform effects.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
asset_efficiency_ratio
1.2% Return on Assets (Excellent)
High
SEC-XBRL
recession_resistance_tier
Low recession resistance; oil demand contracts during recessions, directly compressing revenue and potentially impacting dividend sustainability.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
customer_segment_primary
Crude oil and NGL purchasers — major integrated oil companies and midstream marketers buying at wellhead under short-term contracts.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
customer_segment_secondary
Natural gas purchasers — utility and industrial buyers; concentration risk exists as small non-op company may have 1–2 purchasers per asset.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
characteristic_occupations
["11-0000 Management Occupations", "13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations", "15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations", "17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations", "19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations", "23-0000 Legal Occupations", "41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations", "43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations", "47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations", "49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations", "53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations"]
High
SOC-2018/GICS-overlay
agent_automatable_labor_share
0.33 (HIL — ~33% of characteristic roles agent-automatable)
Medium
SOC-2018 + agentic-exposure-v1
capital_expenditure_profile
Minimal organic capex; capital allocated almost entirely to bolt-on non-operated working interest acquisitions rather than legacy infrastructure replacement.
Inferred
Agent_Inference
sec_cik
0001006655
High
SEC-EDGAR
ticker
EPM
High
SEC-EDGAR

Business Model Components

Core Space

> *Pending Turn 2 — Business Model Type Agent population.*

Interaction Modes

> *Pending Turn 2 — Business Model Type Agent population.*

Product Matrix

> *Pending Turn 2 — Business Model Type Agent population.*

Historical Evolution Log

Live Operational Signals

Signal DateSignal TypeSummary
Source

Evaluation Gate — Persona Stress Tests

SKILL_BUFFETT_VAL_03PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions
SKILL_LEGAL_SEC_01PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions
SKILL_SHORT_BEAR_01PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions
SKILL_MACRO_STRAT_01PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions
SKILL_OPS_PARTNER_01PASS2026-07-20no unmet atoms among this persona's authored questions

Live Status

No Live Status block found.