debt_leverage_profile
0.22x Total Debt / Equity (Conservative)
High
SEC-XBRL
interest_rate_sensitivity
High sensitivity; ~$150M variable-rate debt means 200bps rise adds ~$3M annual interest expense, pressuring thin E&P margins
Inferred
Agent_Inference
geopolitical_supply_exposure
High intensity; OPEC+ supply decisions and Russia-Ukraine conflict drive price volatility.
Medium
GICS-commodity-overlay-v1
supply_chain_dependency
Weld County Colorado drilling permit bottlenecks; Permian Basin oilfield services capacity constraints during peak drilling cycles
Inferred
Agent_Inference
international_expansion_readiness
Essentially zero; Prairie Operating is 100% domestic US-focused with no international revenue markets or currency exposure
Inferred
Agent_Inference
geographic_footprint
No sovereign currency devaluation risk; all operations and revenues are USD-denominated in Colorado DJ Basin
Inferred
Agent_Inference
commodity_exposure_profile
High intensity; commodities: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Coal, Refined Petroleum Products, Uranium, Steel (equipment); geopolitical: OPEC+ supply decisions and Russia-Ukraine conflict drive price volatility.
Medium
GICS-commodity-overlay-v1
vendor_lock_dependency_score
High dependency on single completion crews and frac service providers in DJ Basin; limited substitutability during tight oilfield services markets
Inferred
Agent_Inference
business_model_type_primary
Upstream E&P company; no material cloud infrastructure dependency — operations run on standard oilfield data/SCADA systems
Inferred
Agent_Inference
business_model_type_secondary
Cloud termination risk is negligible; primary operational tech is field instrumentation, not cloud-hosted SaaS platforms
Inferred
Agent_Inference
switching_cost_profile
Low API coupling risk; uses standard oilfield ERP/production software (Enertia, WellEz); easily substitutable vendors
Inferred
Agent_Inference
howey_test_risk_index
Low Howey risk; revenue from hydrocarbon commodity sales, not investment contracts — standard E&P model passes Howey comfortably
Inferred
Agent_Inference
regulatory_burden_tier
High
Medium
GICS-regulatory-overlay-v1
data_sovereignty_risk
Minimal GDPR/CCPA exposure; no consumer data collected, B2B commodity sales, US-only operations with no EU data subjects
Inferred
Agent_Inference
antitrust_exposure_flag
Low antitrust risk; sub-1% DJ Basin market share, price-taker in commodity markets, no dominant market position
Inferred
Agent_Inference
regulatory_exposure_profile
High burden; regimes: EPA, FERC, DOE, CFTC, OSHA, SEC; Accelerating emissions mandates and methane rules threaten capex economics.
Medium
GICS-regulatory-overlay-v1
revenue_model_type
~100% transactional; revenue derived from spot and hedged crude oil/natural gas sales with no recurring subscription component
Inferred
Agent_Inference
monetization_vector
Commodity price realization per BOE; ~60-70% oil weighting drives revenue with NGL and gas as secondary vectors
Inferred
Agent_Inference
pricing_architecture
Pure commodity price-taker; realized price = WTI benchmark minus differential (~$2-5/bbl); zero pricing power over benchmark
Inferred
Agent_Inference
pricing_power_rating
1/10; complete price-taker in global commodity markets, differentiation only possible via hedging program execution
Inferred
Agent_Inference
target_gross_margin_bracket
0.6% Gross Margin (Thin (<20%))
High
SEC-XBRL
churn_vulnerability_index
No free-rider problem; commodity sales are transactional with no platform or subscription model to exploit
Inferred
Agent_Inference
headcount_cost_structure
Sublinear headcount growth; E&P scales via capital deployment not headcount — doubling production requires ~20-30% more staff
Inferred
Agent_Inference
marginal_cost_of_growth
Capital-intensive but operationally leveraged; marginal cost of incremental BOE production declines as fixed costs spread across more wells
Inferred
Agent_Inference
franchise_compliance_risk
Not applicable; Prairie Operating has no franchise network — direct operator of oil and gas assets
Inferred
Agent_Inference
customer_acquisition_metric
At 10x scale, CAC remains near zero; commodity producers sell to infinite-depth commodity markets without meaningful customer acquisition cost
Inferred
Agent_Inference
network_effect_present
No network effects; hydrocarbon production is a commodity with zero demand-side economies of scale or user network dynamics
Inferred
Agent_Inference
asset_efficiency_ratio
5.7% Return on Assets (Excellent)
High
SEC-XBRL
recession_resistance_tier
Tier 4 (cyclical); oil demand falls 5-10% in recessions, WTI can drop 40-60%, directly crushing revenue with fixed cost base
Inferred
Agent_Inference
customer_segment_primary
Commodity purchasers/refiners and midstream aggregators; top customer likely Plains All American or similar DJ Basin purchaser
Inferred
Agent_Inference
customer_segment_secondary
Natural gas marketing counterparties; Colorado-region utilities and gas marketers representing ~20-25% of revenue mix
Inferred
Agent_Inference
characteristic_occupations
["11-0000 Management Occupations", "13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations", "15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations", "17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations", "19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations", "23-0000 Legal Occupations", "41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations", "43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations", "47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations", "49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations", "53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations"]
High
SOC-2018/GICS-overlay
agent_automatable_labor_share
0.33 (HIL — ~33% of characteristic roles agent-automatable)
Medium
SOC-2018 + agentic-exposure-v1
capital_expenditure_profile
0.1% CapEx / Revenue (Low-CapEx Asset-Light)
High
SEC-XBRL
sec_cik
0001162896
High
SEC-EDGAR
ticker
PROP
High
SEC-EDGAR